Market Timing Gold: Reversal at a Top or Not?

Gold (GLD, IAU) is down hard today from an attempt at a new high. This does not guarantee it will fail, so you may want to average out instead of selling everything at once, but it does increase the risk of a significant price correction.  The alternative is that it represents a retest of the breakout area. We will know more by the close.

The prior GLD high was 139.54, so look to see if it closes below there today.  If so, a bigger correction may occur.  If you don’t sell at a top or lighten up there, your other option is to sell on further weakness. You have to define where your exit points will be.  You can use various support levels or percentage stops as in selling when GLD falls 5% from the top and selling more once it has dropped 10% from the top just as examples.  Those are called trailing stops as many of you may know.  (Read more on the “Buying Checklist” page on the main site here: Buying Checklist

The AMEX gold bug index is now down from testing the 1-03-2011 peak of 578.80, so set some stops on your gold stock profits as well!

My personal preference is to exit trading positions, when trading gold, while keeping a core position in gold that is not touched, at least until things get very stretched.

Take a look at my free SP500Tracker™ newsletter. It is out this weekend (again, it’s FREE, so please subscribe below if you are concerned about where the stock market may go from here:

Click Here to Subscribe to my FREE SP500Tracker™ Market Timing Newsletter and free “Tips”

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Standard Disclaimer: Remember, it’s your money and your decision as to how to invest it.

Copyright © 2011 by Wall Street Sun and Storm Report, LLC All rights reserved.

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1 Response to Market Timing Gold: Reversal at a Top or Not?

  1. David Durand says:

    GLD’s 1 min chart shows no recovery from the day’s selling. I cannot tell you what tomorrow will bring, but until gold makes a new high, I would not buy any in the near term. If gold corrects substantially, that may change, which is why I use my newsletter to update GLD daily.

    Here is the link to my sample issues: Sample Issues

    Standard Disclaimer: Remember, it’s your money and your decision as to how to invest it.

    Copyright © 2011 by Wall Street Sun and Storm Report, LLC All rights reserved.

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