Monthly Archives: February 2011

Market Timing the SP500 Index: Giving It Back

Posted on February 28, 2011 by David Durand

The market is giving back much of this mornings gains and for the NASDAQ, then some, as it is in the red at the moment.  The semi-conductors are particularly weak. The small caps are in the red too.  The midcaps … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the US Dollar Index: Watch this line

Posted on February 24, 2011 by David Durand

The US dollar index has dropped just below a major up trend line this morning that is formed by the Nov. 2010 and early Feb. 2011 lows. A breach of this line at around 77.19 would cause the dollar to … Continue reading →

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Market Timing Signal: The US Dollar Failed A Test and Your Federal Credit Rating Just Declined!

Posted on February 23, 2011 by David Durand

The US dollar has been considered the reserve currency of the world. That means that when the you-know-what hits the international fan, the dollar is SUPPOSED to rally. It barely moved yesterday! Gold did move up significantly. This amounts to … Continue reading →

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Market Timing by Investor Sentiment: The Fearful Ones are Running Again

Posted on February 16, 2011 by David Durand

Published 2-16-2011 There they go again. The clients of investment firms who ran from stocks as the market sank to its low in 2009 are now running from bonds (now that they’ve already substantially corrected) back to stocks. Their market … Continue reading →

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Investor Sentiment: An AAII Index Review for 2-10-2011

Posted on February 10, 2011 by David Durand

Sentiment was reported today and the results are interesting. Sentiment is not off the wall Bullish or Bearish. It is at a level that could support a further rally, but the number of Bulls may make the market vulnerable to … Continue reading →

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SP500 Index Market Timing: This rally will be intact if…

Posted on February 7, 2011 by David Durand

The current rally in the SP500 index will be intact if these corroborating market timing signals hold into today’s close: The banking index (BKX) can close at a new recent high above 54.87 The small and midcaps can also close … Continue reading →

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SP500 Market Timing: The Ice Has been Broken

Posted on February 3, 2011 by David Durand

Sometimes breaking the ice is a good thing. This is not one of those times! The SP500 has finally broken the ice located at the breakout point of 1302.67, but is only about 3 points below that at 10:48 am … Continue reading →

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SP500 Index Market Timing: Will the Ice Hold?

Posted on February 2, 2011 by David Durand

The SP500 index is at 1303.51, just barely above the breakout number of (and write this one down) 1302.67. It needs to close above there and keep moving for this last breakout to hold. The question is whether the ice … Continue reading →

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SP500 Index Market Timing: Another Place to Sell

Posted on February 1, 2011 by David Durand

You have another possible place to sell today. We are back up at the resistance of the last high on the daily chart. We are JUST below the prior daily high. Now, if you firmly believe it’s “full steam ahead,” … Continue reading →

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