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Recent Posts
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 2-17-2023 Close (2-21-23 through 3-15-23 Updates) “Still Just a U.S. Stock Market Bounce. How is Gold Holding Up? When Will the Bond/Treasury Market Be Safe Again?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-28-2022 Close “Just Another Bounce or the End of the Bear Market for Stocks? When Gold Will Rise Again. How High Will Rates Go?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 7-08-2022 Close “Stocks Stabilize Ahead of Earnings Slowdown. So You Want to Fight the Fed? Gold Slips with Commodities. Treasury Yields Flat Vs. Early May.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-29-2022 Close “Markets on the Edge of the ‘Big Red Wave.’ Gold Off Its Top. Long Term Treasuries Taking a Fed Beating.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 1-21-2022 Close with Updates at Top “Big Red Wave Warning” and “Inflation Strategy Addendum”: “The U.S. Stock Market Has Two Choices. The Golden Triangle. Rates Have Peaked?”
Click to Follow Me On Twitter
- Have a great weekend! 17 hours ago
- My IJH buy is now -1.1%. Bought it on 3-16-23 as shared here. Counts as "noise" so far. Still waiting for a signa… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 17 hours ago
- No change of my assessment before the US equity market close. ;) 17 hours ago
- "Is $IWM in a Bull or Bear Trap?" @ATUGKDR Bear trap earlier today, which I warned against biting on. No trap at… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 17 hours ago
- $SPX $SPY $IJH $IWM No buy signal, but we did have a "Save" from a breakdown if things are about the same at the cl… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 17 hours ago
- US stocks mostly back to "lime," except $QQQ which is only "pink." 20 hours ago
- T*NX hit the 2-02 L and bounced today. Need a new low to confirm my "Big Green Wave" in Treasuries/Investment Grad… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 21 hours ago
- Sometimes we see the market rise to tag "unchanged for the day" and fall. That's just one instance in which we see… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 22 hours ago
- $IWM will have to move a bit higher to call it a "save" as well. 2/2 22 hours ago
- The red today in US equities may be an overshoot for mid to small caps in particular, but we won't know until the c… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 22 hours ago
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Monthly Archives: September 2015
Market Timing Brief for the 9-25-2015 Close: Will the Higher Low for the SP500 Index Hold? Gold Rallies and Treasuries Hold Some Gains.
A Market Timing Report based on the 9-25-2015 Close, published Sunday September 26th, 2015 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: The rally on Friday fizzled after Speaker John … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, iwm, market timing, no rate hike, rut, sell-off, sp500 index, spx, spy, support levels, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Market Timing Brief for the 9-18-2015 Close: Stocks Ready to Head Back Down? Gold and Treasuries Rally on Fed Inaction.
A Market Timing Report based on the 9-18-2015 Close, published Saturday September 19th, 2015 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). UPDATE 9-25-2015: Note that if today is an UP day, which … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, iwm, market timing, no rate hike, rut, sell-off, sp500 index, spx, spy, support levels, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Market Timing Brief for 9-14-2015: History Says! (What Happens After a Federal Reserve Rate Hike?)
A Market Timing Report published Monday September 14th, 2015 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). This is an important supplement to my view of what will happen if the Fed raises … Continue reading
Market Timing Brief for the 9-04-2015 Close: Will the Markets Hold Support? Stocks and Gold Seek Support. Rates ease.
A Market Timing Report based on the 9-04-2015 Close, published Monday September 7th, 2015 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). UPDATE 9-14-2015: My latest thinking about the markets is: HERE This … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, economy, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, iwm, market timing, rut, sell-off, sp500 index, spx, spy, support levels, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Survey Says! The AAII Sentiment Survey of 9-2-2015 (UPDATE 9-10-2015): Too Much Complacency
What the AAII Individual Investor Sentiment Survey Says About the U.S. Stock Market Published on 9-03-2015: These comments are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below) as well as my weekly weekend posts and needed intra-week updates. UPDATE 9-10-2015: Investors Still … Continue reading