Category Archives: Uncategorized

Market Timing the Markets: US Dollar, SP500 Index and Gold

Posted on June 2, 2011 by David Durand

Gold has remained strong even in the midst of the dollar rally.  Gold continued to go up even as the US dollar was pulling back.  Today the GLD (gold ETF) is still moving with the US dollar index (UUP), although … Continue reading →

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Stocks, Dollars, and Gold: Market Timing Update

Posted on March 23, 2011 by David Durand

US Dollar Index Breakout(USDX, UUP,EUO – FYI note tax forms needed in even IRAs if you trade UUP or EUO- speak to your broker): IF this move above 75.63 in the US dollar index holds and the Euro continues down … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the US Dollar Index and Gold (GLD,IAU,USDX): Last Stop Before Hell for the US Dollar

Posted on March 18, 2011 by David Durand

All aboard! Ninety five percent of Americans are riding the dollar train and are asleep. If the Nov. 2010 low of the US dollar index of 75.63 – 75.73 is taken out, the 2009 low (mini-hell) of 74.23 is next … Continue reading →

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Market Timing Gold (GLD, IAU): A Pause?

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

Yes, it looks like a pause in a decline.  Gold has just gone sideways for a couple of days. Although it could rally from the 50 day moving average which is not that far below here (GLD 50 day mav … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the SP500 Index Decline: A Place to Scale Out – Now

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

QUICK NOTE: You want to scale when investors are buying whenever possible in a down trend. Now if you disagree with me and believe we are not in a more substantial down trend this time, ignore this. But if you … Continue reading →

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SP500 Index Market Timing: This rally will be intact if…

Posted on February 7, 2011 by David Durand

The current rally in the SP500 index will be intact if these corroborating market timing signals hold into today’s close: The banking index (BKX) can close at a new recent high above 54.87 The small and midcaps can also close … Continue reading →

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AAII Investor Sentiment is NOT in the Way – Not short term anyway

Posted on January 27, 2011 by David Durand

For the details please go to my AAII page here: AAII Investor Sentiment Review

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Euro Attempts Breakout and Fails for Now

Posted on January 21, 2011 by David Durand

(UPDATE on 1-24-2011: Please see the comments below this post. This was a decent place to trade against the Euro, but the dollar reversed and failed support, so the trade was exited at a small loss. If you follow your … Continue reading →

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Dollar Reverses Fakeout Breakdown: Sell the Euro

Posted on January 20, 2011 by David Durand

The US dollar index just reversed the prior breakdown this morning and we’ve got a market timing signal. It does that once in a while and when it does, it can work out as a good reversal trade. The market … Continue reading →

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Don’t Hi-yo Silver (SLV) Your Metal Money Away!

Posted on January 20, 2011 by David Durand

Not using market timing when trading silver and gold is insane – unless you are content to ride out 50% drops in silver and 25% plus drops in gold. Silver and the SLV are looking a bit sick right now. … Continue reading →

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