Category Archives: investment

Market Timing Brief™ for the 6-25-2020 Close: “Individual Investors Negative for 18 Weeks Straight! What Does Sentiment History Say? Plus: Is this a Bull Market or Bear Market? It’s BOTH. It’s a “V with a Weight On It.”

Posted on June 25, 2020 by

A Market Timing Report based on the June 25, 2020 Close… No charts today…  Just straight talk about the markets and what I believe is hugely important in determining what lies ahead… First the data on sentiment… Survey Says! Bulls … Continue reading →

Posted in Bear Markets, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, tech stocks | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Coronavirus COVID-19 Brief™ on 5-21-2020 (Updated Charts 6-07-2020): “It Can Start All Over Again, Just the Way It Began in the First Place.”

Posted on May 21, 2020 by

6-07-2020 Coronavirus Update: The daily increase in active cases has ticked up as shown below.  Our market timing may hinge on the development of this chart alone.  The virus has NOT been defeated.  If people have that impression, they need … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Market Timing Brief™ for the 05-15-2020 Close (5-31-20 BMHS Update): “Is it Over Yet? Are U.S. Stocks Done Going Up? Gold Breaks Out. Will Yields Crash with Stocks?”

Posted on May 16, 2020 by

A Market Timing Report based on the May 15, 2020 close… The context for the charts will be addressed on social media during the week…be sure to read those posts as well, or you’ll miss at least half of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Market Timing Brief™ for the 04-07-2020 Close (5-15-20 Coronavirus and 4-27-20 Market Update): “Is it Over Yet? Are Global Stock Markets Done Going Down?”

Posted on April 8, 2020 by

A Market Timing Report based on the April 7th, 2020 close… 5-15-20 Since my prior update on 5-10 here, I’ve changed the name of the reopening plan to “Age Based Reopening,” or A.B.R. for short…  There is more to it … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Market Timing Brief™ for the 03-20-2020 Close (SPX Earnings/Rev and Bull Market Health Score Update 4-04-2020; Coronavirus Update on 4-06-2020 11 pm): “Deep U.S. Recession? If So, Bigger Losses to Come. How Big? Gold Remains ‘Insurance Only.’ Debt Markets Throwing Fits. Fed is Catching Up Still.”

Posted on March 21, 2020 by

A Market Timing Report based on the March 20, 2020 close…A Briefer than Normal Update!  An Intra-Month Market Timing Update! The context for the charts will be addressed on social media during the week…be sure to read those posts as … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Market Timing Brief™ for the 03-13-2020 Close: “A Recession Means a Big Bear Market Is Likely and the Federal Reserve Just Confirmed It! Gold Broken for Now. Treasuries Up in Price As the ‘Falling Rate Shock’ Continues After Massive Fed Action.”

Posted on March 15, 2020 by

A Market Timing Report based on the March 13, 2020 close…A Mid-Month Update The context for the charts will be addressed on social media during the week…be sure to read those posts as well, or you’ll miss at least half … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Market Timing Brief™ for the 02-28-2020 Close: “Enough Blood On Wall Street Yet? Gold Corrects Despite Falling Rate Shock.”

Posted on March 1, 2020 by

A Market Timing Report based on the February 28, 2020 close… The context for the charts will be addressed on social media during the week…be sure to read those posts as well, or you’ll miss at least half of the … Continue reading →

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Market Timing Brief™ on 01-31-2020: “Stocks Sink and Give Up Some “Stretch.” Gold Blasts Off MORE on Geopolitical Risk as Rates Ease MORE.”

Posted on February 1, 2020 by

A Market Timing Report based on the January 31, 2020 close… The context for the charts will be addressed on social media during the week…be sure to read those posts as well, or you’ll miss at least half of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Market Timing Brief™ on 01-06-2020: “Stocks Continue Upward Stretch Above Prior Trend. Gold Blasts Off on Geopolitical Risk as Rates Ease.”

Posted on January 6, 2020 by

A Market Timing Report based on intraday chart data on January 6, 2020… The context for the charts will be addressed on social media.  I will periodically update the charts here in new posts along with the Bull Market Health … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Market Timing Brief™ for the 12-13-2019 Close: “Markets Continue to Stretch UP. What the ‘Fed Locked in Neutral’ Means for Gold. Rates Slip On Friday.”

Posted on December 14, 2019 by

A Market Timing Report based on the December 13, 2019 Close, published Saturday, December 14th, 2019… NOTE (12-20-19):  Despite requesting feedback at the base of this report this week, there was little of it.  Perhaps careful study of the markets … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments