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Recent Posts
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-29-2022 Close “Markets on the Edge of the ‘Big Red Wave.’ Gold Off Its Top. Long Term Treasuries Taking a Fed Beating.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 1-21-2022 Close with Updates at Top “Big Red Wave Warning” and “Inflation Strategy Addendum”: “The U.S. Stock Market Has Two Choices. The Golden Triangle. Rates Have Peaked?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-01-2021 Close: 1) “Is the Correction Over? 2) Why Is Gold Doing Badly with High Inflation? and 3) Interest Rates Are Rising Again.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 06-18-2021 Close: “Is This a Dip, a Correction or Worse? Why Did Gold Crash This Week? Why Are Rates Falling?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 03-19-2021 Close: “What to Do if the Stock Market Weakens Further. Any Help for Gold? Will the Ramp in Interest Rates Slow Down?”
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Category Archives: investment
Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-29-2022 Close “Markets on the Edge of the ‘Big Red Wave.’ Gold Off Its Top. Long Term Treasuries Taking a Fed Beating.”
A Market Timing Report based on the April 29, 2022 close… The Fed usually explains that it has two mandates, “Full employment and price stability.” What they don’t tell you is that they favor price stability over employment when push comes … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, Big Red Wave, federal reserve, Fibonacci Wave 3, gld, gold, gold etf, growth vs value, inflation, iwm, market crash, market risks, market timing, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
2 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 1-21-2022 Close with Updates at Top “Big Red Wave Warning” and “Inflation Strategy Addendum”: “The U.S. Stock Market Has Two Choices. The Golden Triangle. Rates Have Peaked?”
A Market Timing Report based on the January 21, 2022 close… 3-25-2022 UPDATE This morning, the SP500 Index challenged the market timing reversal I posted about on 3-22-22. A “Reversal of the Reversal” will not or would not be taken … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, Big Red Wave, federal reserve, Fibonacci Wave 3, gld, gold, gold etf, growth vs value, inflation, iwm, market crash, market risks, market timing, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-01-2021 Close: 1) “Is the Correction Over? 2) Why Is Gold Doing Badly with High Inflation? and 3) Interest Rates Are Rising Again.”
A Market Timing Report based on the October 01, 2021 close… What’s the Market Timing Set-up Now? We are getting through COVID-19 one way or another. The easy way is vaccination. The hard way is resisting vaccination based on anti-scientific … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market risks, market timing, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
2 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 06-18-2021 Close: “Is This a Dip, a Correction or Worse? Why Did Gold Crash This Week? Why Are Rates Falling?”
A Market Timing Report based on the June 18, 2021 close… What’s the Market Timing Set-up Now? The economy is recovering thanks in large part to the success of the pharmaceutical industry in creating highly effective vaccines in record time. … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market risks, market timing, risk of bear market, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
2 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 03-19-2021 Close: “What to Do if the Stock Market Weakens Further. Any Help for Gold? Will the Ramp in Interest Rates Slow Down?”
A Market Timing Report based on the March 19, 2021 close… What’s the Market Timing Set-up Now? The Tech Sector became grossly overvalued (numerous stocks with massive Price/Sales ratios), and some of that is being corrected. However, new lows in … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market risks, market timing, risk of bear market, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 01-29-2021 Close: “Is the U.S. Stock Market Done Giving Back Gains? Gold with Losses for 2021 and Interest Rates Still Climbing.”
A Market Timing Report based on the January 29, 2021 close… What’s the Market Timing Set-up for February? We had an initial decent start to the year, and then things got a bit crazy with stocks like Gamestop and AMC … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market risks, market timing, risk of bear market, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tlt, tnx
2 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 12-24-2020 Close: “The Risks to 2021 Stock Market Setup. Two Risks are Solved, One Fake and Three Real! P.S. Gold Is Sliding.”
A Market Timing Report based on the December 24, 2020 close… First some orientation to what you’ll see here going forward in terms of market timing. I’m going to reduce my view of the markets to short simple statements. There … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tlt, tnx
2 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-16-2020 Close (with 10-25-20 COVID-19 Update): “The Markets Pre-Election 2020: U.S. Stocks In Uptrend but with a Lower High and Persistent Volatility. Gold on Pause. Rates Under Fed Control.”
A Market Timing Report based on the October 16th, 2020 close… The context for the market timing charts are addressed on social media during the week (links below), so be sure to read those posts as well, or you’ll miss … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, Bull Market Health Score, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tlt, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 09-18-2020 Close: “U.S. Stocks Tipping Over? Gold Pause. Rates Range Bound.”
A Market Timing Report based on the September 18th, 2020 close… The context for the market timing charts are addressed on social media during the week (links below), so be sure to read those posts as well, or you’ll miss … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, Bull Market Health Score, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, SP500 earnings update, sp500 index, sp500 index earnings update, sp500 index revenue update, spx, spy, tlt, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 08-21-2020 Close: “Which Equity Markets Are You In? Gold Still In Bull Trend. Rates Falling Again.”
A Market Timing Report based on the August 21st, 2020 close… The context for the market timing charts are addressed on social media during the week (links below), so be sure to read those posts as well, or you’ll miss … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, Bull Market Health Score, coronavirus, COVID-19, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, SP500 earnings update, sp500 index, sp500 index earnings update, sp500 index revenue update, spx, spy, tlt, tnx, VIX, volatility index
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