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Recent Posts
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 6-25-2020 Close: “Individual Investors Negative for 18 Weeks Straight! What Does Sentiment History Say? Plus: Is this a Bull Market or Bear Market? It’s BOTH. It’s a “V with a Weight On It.”
- Coronavirus COVID-19 Brief™ on 5-21-2020 (Updated Charts 6-07-2020): “It Can Start All Over Again, Just the Way It Began in the First Place.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 05-15-2020 Close (5-31-20 BMHS Update): “Is it Over Yet? Are U.S. Stocks Done Going Up? Gold Breaks Out. Will Yields Crash with Stocks?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 04-07-2020 Close (5-15-20 Coronavirus and 4-27-20 Market Update): “Is it Over Yet? Are Global Stock Markets Done Going Down?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 03-20-2020 Close (SPX Earnings/Rev and Bull Market Health Score Update 4-04-2020; Coronavirus Update on 4-06-2020 11 pm): “Deep U.S. Recession? If So, Bigger Losses to Come. How Big? Gold Remains ‘Insurance Only.’ Debt Markets Throwing Fits. Fed is Catching Up Still.”
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- Now at about 77.50% of usual max. equity exposure worldwide (meaning vs. usual max. for a Bull Market). It's up le… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 38 minutes ago
- $IBB 6th day back above breakout after a false breakdown. Made 4 buys from 6-19 to 6-23 (all noted here). Closed above the 6-23 H today. 8 hours ago
- $SPX $SPY If the market is expecting a vaccine that actually works for more than 2-3 months...well, read this...The… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 9 hours ago
- The "3 O'Clock crowd" is about to vote.... :) 10 hours ago
- $VIX has made a higher low forming a reverse head and shoulders on the daily. Negative for near term. (see my com… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 10 hours ago
- $VIX failed an earlier breakout above yest's high, but now back testing it again... Small caps leading the US Index… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 10 hours ago
- PSA Reminder...Estimated taxes are due for income received through May 31st by Tax Day on July 15th. ;) irs.gov/faqs/estimated… 12 hours ago
- Even if the valuations are not yet at 1999 levels, it sure smells like 1999. Many stocks are up 4-10% today even w… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 13 hours ago
- "in most cases" cross out "in most instances"! It's early still... lol 15 hours ago
- $VIX I'll stick with my message from last night. This is so far just an inside day for VIX (technically it got 0.0… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 15 hours ago
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Monthly Archives: February 2016
Market Timing Brief™ for the 2-26-2016 Close (GLD Update 2-29-2016): What Will Decide the Next Big Move in Stocks? Gold Holds Gains as Rates Rise a Bit on “Risk On” Trade.
A Market Timing Report based on the 2-26-2016 Close, published Sunday February 28th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 2-29-1016 GLD UPDATE: Gold does fine with the dollar either flat … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, raising rates, rut, sentiment shock, sp500 index, spx, spy, stock market bounce, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, trade the range, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 2-19-2016 Close: Currency War: New Round Begins Now. Stocks Falter After Weak Bounce. Gold Hesitates in Rally After Strong Bounce. Rates Stay Low..
A Market Timing Report based on the 2-19-2016 Close, published Sunday February 21st, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: This week the negative spread of the Bull% … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, raising rates, rut, sentiment shock, sp500 index, spx, spy, stock market bounce, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, trade the range, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 2-12-2016 Close: Stock Market Bounces But Danger Lurks! Gold Rally Strong But Stretched. Rates Bounce from Major Low.
A Market Timing Report based on the 2-12-2016 Close, published Sunday February 14th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: Despite the holiday, there’s no love in the … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, raising rates, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, stock market bounce, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, trade the range, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 2-05-2016 Close: Stock Market Rally Hesitates. Gold Rally Solid. Rates Signal Fed Must Pause.
A Market Timing Report based on the 2-05-2016 Close, published Sunday February 7th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: Last week I coined a term: “SENTIMENT SHOCK,” … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, raising rates, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, stock market bounce, survey says, taking back rate hike, tbf, tlt, tnx, trade the range, tyx
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