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Recent Posts
- Market Timing Brief™ for 11-24-2025 – “Gold Fell As Predicted from Its Overstretched Top in October, but What Now?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for 7-29-2025 – UPDATE 8-03-2025 “What is the State of Some Major Indexes and Interest Rates Post Fed and Post Jobs Report?” “Will Stocks Rally or Fall on the Fed Rate Cut Decision Tomorrow?”
- Market Timing Brief™ – Updated 04-25-2025 “Is This US Stock Market Bounce Going to Fail Right Here or Keep Going?” – Main Post: “The Next US Stock Market Move. Gold Hesitates. Interest Rates Rule the Markets Once Again.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-18-2024 Close – Plus 1-17-2025 Update “What Has to Happen Now in the US Stock Market?” Original Post: “Is U.S. Election Risk for the Markets Already Over? Signals Stocks, Gold, and Interest Rates Are Sending…”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 7-26-2024 Close and 9-16-24 Update on a Potential (and Dumb?) 0.50% Fed Rate Cut in Sept. 9-09-2024 Update on “How Many Fed Cuts Will We See by December?” Regular Issue: “What Should You Buy Now? How Low Will Large Cap Stocks Go? Small Caps (Temporarily!) Defy Large Cap Gravity. Gold’s Consolidating but Strong. Interest Rates Are Falling.”
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Category Archives: investment
Market Timing Brief™ for 11-24-2025 – “Gold Fell As Predicted from Its Overstretched Top in October, but What Now?”
Market Timing Brief for November 24th, 2025: I wrote what follows this discussion on October 10, 2025, but didn’t publish it. It turns out I was just 6 days early on the last gold top on October 20, 2025. The … Continue reading
Posted in gold, investment
Tagged Fed, federal reserve, gld, gold, inflation, interest rates, market risks, market timing, rate cuts, tariffs, tlt, tnx, US Treasuries
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Market Timing Brief™ for 7-29-2025 – UPDATE 8-03-2025 “What is the State of Some Major Indexes and Interest Rates Post Fed and Post Jobs Report?” “Will Stocks Rally or Fall on the Fed Rate Cut Decision Tomorrow?”
Market Timing Brief for July 29, 2025: “Will Stocks Rally or Fall on the Fed Rate Cut Decision Tomorrow?” UPDATE 8-03-2025: The above prediction was incorrect, but the bond market made a rate cut anyway! The correct answer was that … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Cryptocurrency, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, Fed, federal reserve, gld, inflation, iwm, iwo, iwp, iwr, KWEB, market risks, market timing, midcap stocks, rate cuts, sp500 index, spx, spy, tariffs, tnx, xlk
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Market Timing Brief™ – Updated 04-25-2025 “Is This US Stock Market Bounce Going to Fail Right Here or Keep Going?” – Main Post: “The Next US Stock Market Move. Gold Hesitates. Interest Rates Rule the Markets Once Again.”
Market Timing Brief for July 29, 2025: “What the Fed Will Indicate On Rate Cuts Tomorrow” The following will tell you how to position yourself on a market timing basis before the Fed meeting and what to expect from the … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Cryptocurrency, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, Fed, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, rate cuts, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx, what investments to consider now
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-18-2024 Close – Plus 1-17-2025 Update “What Has to Happen Now in the US Stock Market?” Original Post: “Is U.S. Election Risk for the Markets Already Over? Signals Stocks, Gold, and Interest Rates Are Sending…”
A Market Timing Report based on the October 18, 2024 close… UDPATE 1-17-2025: “What Has to Happen Now in the US Stock Market?” This is a sneak preview on my next blog post, which will appear on this site … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Cryptocurrency, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, Fed, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, rate cuts, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx, what investments to consider now
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 7-26-2024 Close and 9-16-24 Update on a Potential (and Dumb?) 0.50% Fed Rate Cut in Sept. 9-09-2024 Update on “How Many Fed Cuts Will We See by December?” Regular Issue: “What Should You Buy Now? How Low Will Large Cap Stocks Go? Small Caps (Temporarily!) Defy Large Cap Gravity. Gold’s Consolidating but Strong. Interest Rates Are Falling.”
A Market Timing Report based on the July 26, 2024 close… UPDATE for the 9-27-2024 Close: “SP500 Index Sector Market Timing Trend Classification” XLB XLC XLE XLF XLI XLK UT UT CDT CORUT UT CONUT XLP XLRE XLU XLV XLY … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Cryptocurrency, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bitcoin, Fed, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, rate cuts, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx, what investments to consider now
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-26-2024 Close With June Updates: “Charts of the Choppy and Trending Markets: Stocks Choppy, and Gold and Interest Rates Trending Up.”
A Market Timing Report based on the April 26, 2024 close… (Main Issue begins below the Updates…) UPDATE 6-09-2024: SPX Chart Update and Key Market Timing “Opportunity Ranges™” for Monday, June 10, 2024 Click here for the Updated SP500 Index … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Cryptocurrency, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, bitcoin, bull market, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 1-26-2024 Close: … Update 3-08-2024: “The Third Eye of Investing”… Update 2-22-2024: “The Bearish View of the SP500 Index” … Update 2-12-24 “How to Add Bitcoin During a Strong Rally” and … “U.S. Stocks Continue Uptrend Buoyed by Six Magnificent Stocks. Gold Softens Slightly On an Interest Rate Bounce. How to Trade Bonds from Here.”
A Market Timing Report based on the January 26, 2024 close… 3-08-2024 Update “The Third Eye of Investing”… I wrote this up in response to a follower’s question on StockTwits. It was a general question about how to connect the … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Cryptocurrency, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, bitcoin, bull market, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 9-29-2023 Close. Updated 10-22-2023: “Bond Buyers Needed.” Post: “Will the U.S. Stock Market Hold These Levels? Gold and Bonds Under Pressure from Rising Rates!”
A Market Timing Report based on the September 29, 2023 close Market Timing Update for 10-22-23: Bond Buyers Needed… Stocks won’t bounce much or at all, if the recent #RateShock keeps ripping… The last three 10 Year Yield Highs have … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, bull market, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 7-28-2023 Close. (UPDATES 9-22-23, 9-18-23: A Possible Big Red Wave Down in the Stock Market”) “The Paradox of the Bouncing Market vs. the Bearish Economic Signals: Up Trends vs. True Bull Markets. Gold Trend Update. Rates Are Rising, but How High?”
A Market Timing Report based on the July 28, 2023 close 9-18-23 Market Timing Update: Today I’m giving you very graphic proof that we are NOT in a “New Bull Market” as so many have publicly led you to believe. … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, Big Red Wave, bull market, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 2-17-2023 Close (2-21-23 through 3-15-23 Updates) “Still Just a U.S. Stock Market Bounce. How is Gold Holding Up? When Will the Bond/Treasury Market Be Safe Again?”
A Market Timing Report based on the February 17, 2023 close, with charts and commentary updated through 2-27-2023… Market Timing Update for 3-15-23: The Bullish Scenario for U.S. Stocks and Bonds The Bullish scenario is based on a “Big Green … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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