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Recent Posts
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 2-17-2023 Close (2-21-23 through 3-15-23 Updates) “Still Just a U.S. Stock Market Bounce. How is Gold Holding Up? When Will the Bond/Treasury Market Be Safe Again?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-28-2022 Close “Just Another Bounce or the End of the Bear Market for Stocks? When Gold Will Rise Again. How High Will Rates Go?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 7-08-2022 Close “Stocks Stabilize Ahead of Earnings Slowdown. So You Want to Fight the Fed? Gold Slips with Commodities. Treasury Yields Flat Vs. Early May.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-29-2022 Close “Markets on the Edge of the ‘Big Red Wave.’ Gold Off Its Top. Long Term Treasuries Taking a Fed Beating.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 1-21-2022 Close with Updates at Top “Big Red Wave Warning” and “Inflation Strategy Addendum”: “The U.S. Stock Market Has Two Choices. The Golden Triangle. Rates Have Peaked?”
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Tag Archives: federal reserve
Market Timing Brief™ for the 2-17-2023 Close (2-21-23 through 3-15-23 Updates) “Still Just a U.S. Stock Market Bounce. How is Gold Holding Up? When Will the Bond/Treasury Market Be Safe Again?”
A Market Timing Report based on the February 17, 2023 close, with charts and commentary updated through 2-27-2023… Market Timing Update for 3-15-23: The Bullish Scenario for U.S. Stocks and Bonds The Bullish scenario is based on a “Big Green … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
3 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-28-2022 Close “Just Another Bounce or the End of the Bear Market for Stocks? When Gold Will Rise Again. How High Will Rates Go?”
A Market Timing Report based on the October 28, 2022 close… First, how has my “Big Red Wave” level worked out? We came down to SP500 Index of 3491.68 on 10-13-2022 vs. my level of 3461. That means we came … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, 2022 Election, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, Big Red Wave, federal reserve, Fibonacci Wave 3, gld, gold, gold etf, growth vs value, inflation, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
1 Comment
Market Timing Brief™ for the 7-08-2022 Close “Stocks Stabilize Ahead of Earnings Slowdown. So You Want to Fight the Fed? Gold Slips with Commodities. Treasury Yields Flat Vs. Early May.”
A Market Timing Report based on the July 08, 2022 close… The Fed has just ONE mandate now: Get Inflation Lower, as I said in my last issue. The Fed has egg on its face for letting inflation run to … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, Big Red Wave, federal reserve, Fibonacci Wave 3, gld, gold, gold etf, growth vs value, inflation, iwm, market crash, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
1 Comment
Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-29-2022 Close “Markets on the Edge of the ‘Big Red Wave.’ Gold Off Its Top. Long Term Treasuries Taking a Fed Beating.”
A Market Timing Report based on the April 29, 2022 close… The Fed usually explains that it has two mandates, “Full employment and price stability.” What they don’t tell you is that they favor price stability over employment when push comes … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, Big Red Wave, federal reserve, Fibonacci Wave 3, gld, gold, gold etf, growth vs value, inflation, iwm, market crash, market risks, market timing, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
2 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 1-21-2022 Close with Updates at Top “Big Red Wave Warning” and “Inflation Strategy Addendum”: “The U.S. Stock Market Has Two Choices. The Golden Triangle. Rates Have Peaked?”
A Market Timing Report based on the January 21, 2022 close… 3-25-2022 UPDATE This morning, the SP500 Index challenged the market timing reversal I posted about on 3-22-22. A “Reversal of the Reversal” will not or would not be taken … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, bear market, Big Red Wave, federal reserve, Fibonacci Wave 3, gld, gold, gold etf, growth vs value, inflation, iwm, market crash, market risks, market timing, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-01-2021 Close: 1) “Is the Correction Over? 2) Why Is Gold Doing Badly with High Inflation? and 3) Interest Rates Are Rising Again.”
A Market Timing Report based on the October 01, 2021 close… What’s the Market Timing Set-up Now? We are getting through COVID-19 one way or another. The easy way is vaccination. The hard way is resisting vaccination based on anti-scientific … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market risks, market timing, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
2 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 06-18-2021 Close: “Is This a Dip, a Correction or Worse? Why Did Gold Crash This Week? Why Are Rates Falling?”
A Market Timing Report based on the June 18, 2021 close… What’s the Market Timing Set-up Now? The economy is recovering thanks in large part to the success of the pharmaceutical industry in creating highly effective vaccines in record time. … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market risks, market timing, risk of bear market, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
2 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 03-19-2021 Close: “What to Do if the Stock Market Weakens Further. Any Help for Gold? Will the Ramp in Interest Rates Slow Down?”
A Market Timing Report based on the March 19, 2021 close… What’s the Market Timing Set-up Now? The Tech Sector became grossly overvalued (numerous stocks with massive Price/Sales ratios), and some of that is being corrected. However, new lows in … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, federal reserve, gld, gold, gold etf, iwm, market risks, market timing, risk of bear market, risk of deeper correction, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 12-13-2019 Close: “Markets Continue to Stretch UP. What the ‘Fed Locked in Neutral’ Means for Gold. Rates Slip On Friday.”
A Market Timing Report based on the December 13, 2019 Close, published Saturday, December 14th, 2019… NOTE (12-20-19): Despite requesting feedback at the base of this report this week, there was little of it. Perhaps careful study of the markets … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, BAC, Bull Market Health Score, election risk, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, impeachment risk, INTC, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tlt, tnx, US China trade war, VIX, volatility index
2 Comments
Market Timing Brief™ for the 12-06-2019 Close: “Market Looks Past All Risks After Shallow Dip. Gold On Notice with Interest Rates Rising.”
A Market Timing Report based on the December 06, 2019 Close, published Saturday, December 7th, 2019… I deliver focused comments on market timing once a week. These are supplemented with daily “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below) and comments in the “markettiming” … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury yield, aaii sentiment survey, BAC, Bull Market Health Score, election risk, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, impeachment risk, INTC, iwm, market risks, market timing, Russell 2000, russell 2000 index, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, tlt, tnx, US China trade war, VIX, volatility index
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Sun and Storm Investing Market Timing Blog™ 