Category Archives: volatility index

Market Timing Brief™: Will Dr. B. Spoil the Rally?

Based on the 7-13-2012 Close published Sunday, 7-15-2012. UPDATE on 7-17-2012: Dr. Bernanke has spoken and the SP500 Index was down at first and is now slightly up and gold is down a bit less than it was when the … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Trouble for the Markets in Coming Earnings and Further US Dollar Strength

Based on the 7-6-2012 Close published Sunday, 7-08-2012. Market Timing Brief™ for 07-06-2012 The US Dollar Index remains strong, which means trouble for US multinationals competing in Europe.  In fact the US Dollar Index made a slight new recent high … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Revival of Stocks and Metals. Treasuries Say Nein! Although Merkel Says Ja!

Based on the 6-29-2012 Close published Sunday, 7-01-2012. UPDATE @ 5:18 pm on 7-02-2012: The SP500 Index managed to close over the 6-19-2012 high but just barely, so the jury is still out.  It does give the Bulls an edge … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Treasuries and Gold Will Signal a Real Economic Recovery When It Happens. For Now Safety Rules!

Based on the 6-22-2012 Close published Sunday, 6-24-2012. First, thank you for continuing to drive this newsletter higher in the various Google and other rankings.  I appreciate your interest and loyalty!   I have some really key insights this week that … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Did the Markets Fall Enough? Are There Enough Bears Finally?

Market Timing Update at 5-21-2012 near the open and at close: There was indeed a bounce and I’ve begun re-entering certain markets as reported on Twitter (see feed to the right).  Whether the market will bounce to the nearest resistance … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Will the Markets Find Support Soon?

5-13-2012 Brief with Updates 5-17-2012: The markets have broken down badly as I said they would if they did not hold April support levels.   They then cut through the March support level based on acceleratingly bad European bank news.   It … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: They Went Away in April

5-6-2012: (Update at 5-7-2012 close and again on 5-10-2012) 5-10-2012 UPDATE: Yesterday the SP500 Index closed just below support, which was at the April low. If the pop this morning holds on the close today , we can rise to … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Retest Time

5-01-2012 3:29 pm Update:  The SP500 Index (SPX, SPY) is indeed getting very close to doing a complete  retest of the prior high on April 2nd, so this weekend’s analysis is coming to pass.  In fact, the Dow is now … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Mini-Rally in Slow Motion (with 4-25 Update – See Third Chart))

4-23-2012 Update of Mini-Rally in Slow Motion The VIX has actually been falling over the past 8 market days and the market (SP500 Index) has been edging up during that time with hesitations and not by much so far.  What … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Not a Trouncing

As I Tweeted near the close on Friday, several markets showing greater technical damage are biotech (BRK) and drugs (DRG).   The SP500 Index dropped below the 50 day moving average.  I said: SP500 Index is closing above the low for … Continue reading

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