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Recent Posts
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 6-25-2020 Close: “Individual Investors Negative for 18 Weeks Straight! What Does Sentiment History Say? Plus: Is this a Bull Market or Bear Market? It’s BOTH. It’s a “V with a Weight On It.”
- Coronavirus COVID-19 Brief™ on 5-21-2020 (Updated Charts 6-07-2020): “It Can Start All Over Again, Just the Way It Began in the First Place.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 05-15-2020 Close (5-31-20 BMHS Update): “Is it Over Yet? Are U.S. Stocks Done Going Up? Gold Breaks Out. Will Yields Crash with Stocks?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 04-07-2020 Close (5-15-20 Coronavirus and 4-27-20 Market Update): “Is it Over Yet? Are Global Stock Markets Done Going Down?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 03-20-2020 Close (SPX Earnings/Rev and Bull Market Health Score Update 4-04-2020; Coronavirus Update on 4-06-2020 11 pm): “Deep U.S. Recession? If So, Bigger Losses to Come. How Big? Gold Remains ‘Insurance Only.’ Debt Markets Throwing Fits. Fed is Catching Up Still.”
Click to Follow Me On Twitter
- Now at about 77.50% of usual max. equity exposure worldwide (meaning vs. usual max. for a Bull Market). It's up le… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 35 minutes ago
- $IBB 6th day back above breakout after a false breakdown. Made 4 buys from 6-19 to 6-23 (all noted here). Closed above the 6-23 H today. 8 hours ago
- $SPX $SPY If the market is expecting a vaccine that actually works for more than 2-3 months...well, read this...The… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 9 hours ago
- The "3 O'Clock crowd" is about to vote.... :) 10 hours ago
- $VIX has made a higher low forming a reverse head and shoulders on the daily. Negative for near term. (see my com… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 10 hours ago
- $VIX failed an earlier breakout above yest's high, but now back testing it again... Small caps leading the US Index… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 10 hours ago
- PSA Reminder...Estimated taxes are due for income received through May 31st by Tax Day on July 15th. ;) irs.gov/faqs/estimated… 12 hours ago
- Even if the valuations are not yet at 1999 levels, it sure smells like 1999. Many stocks are up 4-10% today even w… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 13 hours ago
- "in most cases" cross out "in most instances"! It's early still... lol 15 hours ago
- $VIX I'll stick with my message from last night. This is so far just an inside day for VIX (technically it got 0.0… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 15 hours ago
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Tag Archives: tyx
Market Timing Brief™ for the 6-10-2016 Close: SP500 Being Tested by the Rest of the World. Gold Reviving as Rates Plunge.
A Market Timing Report based on the 6-10-2016 Close, published Sunday June 4th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: The sluggish recovery we’ve had since 2009 is … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, eur/usd, fed rate hike, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx, usdx, uup
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 6-03-2016 Close: SP500 Index Reacts Little to Falling Employment Growth In “Muddle Through” Economy. Gold Soars as Rates Plunge On Weak Employment Growth.
A Market Timing Report based on the 6-03-2016 Close, published Sunday June 4th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: The employment numbers were not good this week. … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, eur/usd, fed rate hike, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx, usdx, uup
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 5-27-2016 Close: SP500 Index Climbs In a “Muddle Through” Economy. Gold Slips Under Dollar Pressure as Rates Remain Contained.
A Market Timing Report based on the 5-27-2016 Close, published Monday May 30, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: The first revision of Q1 GDP was a … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, fed rate hike, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 5-20-2016 Close: Fed Hike Back On for June/July. SP500 Index Rallies Off Support. Gold Still On Pause vs. Dollar Strength and Rising Rates.
A Market Timing Report based on the 5-20-2016 Close, published Sunday May 22, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: The SP500 Index rallied a bit off of … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, fed rate hike, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 5-13-2016 Close: Good Is Now Bad. SP500 Index and Small Caps Reverse. Gold Pausing but in Up Trend. Rates Dive.
A Market Timing Report based on the 5-13-2016 Close, published Sunday May 15th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: The SP500 Index fell below the yellow down … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, Atlanta Fed, fed rate hike, federal reserve, GDP Estimate, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-29-2016 Close: SP500 Index At A Turning Point? Small Caps About to Reverse? Gold Breaks Out with Falling Rates after the Fed.
A Market Timing Report based on the 4-29-2016 Close, published Sunday May 1st, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: The SP500 Index fell below the yellow down … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, fed rate hike, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-22-2016 Close: SP500 At A Turning Point? Foolhardy Small Cap Rally? Gold Still On Hold. Rate Fears Rising.
A Market Timing Report based on the 4-22-2016 Close, published Sunday April 24th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: We remain above the down trend line (in … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, fed rate hike, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, stock market bounce, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-15-2016 Close: Stocks Begin Earnings Season With a Rally. Gold Still a Buy On Pullbacks. Rates Will Go Lower.
A Market Timing Report based on the 4-15-2016 Close, published Sunday April 17th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: The stock market bounce continued up above the … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, fed rate hike, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, stock market bounce, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-08-2016 Close: Market Seeks Fed MISguidance! Stocks Face Earnings Season. Gold Is Strong. Rates Collapse.
A Market Timing Report based on the 4-08-2016 Close, published Saturday April 10th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: We are falling back from the yellow down … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, fed rate hike, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, stock market bounce, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx
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Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-01-2016 Close: Stocks Rallying Ahead of Dicey Earnings Season. Gold Slips A Bit. Rates Continue Downtrend.
A Market Timing Report based on the 4-01-2016 Close, published Saturday April 2nd, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: Dr. Yellen was hyper-dovish on rate hikes in … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, Dr. Janet Yellen, federal reserve, gld, gold etf, investor sentiment, iwm, market timing, raising rates, rate hikes, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, stock market bounce, survey says, tbf, tlt, tnx, tyx, Yellen Speech
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