Tag Archives: sp500 index

Market Timing the SP500 Index: Uncertain Interest Rates, Uncertain Economy, Uncertain Markets

Posted on June 17, 2011 by David Durand

It struck me why the SP500 index and other stock markets could actually take the next leg down rather than up.  There is room to bounce, yes, but that remains to be proven by the Bulls.  There are reasons the … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the Markets: US Dollar, SP500 Index and Gold

Posted on June 2, 2011 by David Durand

Gold has remained strong even in the midst of the dollar rally.  Gold continued to go up even as the US dollar was pulling back.  Today the GLD (gold ETF) is still moving with the US dollar index (UUP), although … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the US Dollar:The Obvious Move is Down

Posted on May 18, 2011 by David Durand

Because the obvious move is down for the US dollar index, the fact that it is hanging onto the recent range of consolidation is positive.  That said, time is running out and you can expect a big move one way … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the US Dollar: Dollar UP, Stocks and Gold DOWN

Posted on May 12, 2011 by David Durand

So how is the US dollar rally going?  The dollar has just tested some support on the 15 minute chart for UUP at 21.55, but has slipped to 21.54. It now meets up with resistance at the 50 day moving … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the US Dollar: Driving Down Stocks and Gold

Posted on May 5, 2011 by David Durand

The US dollar index is back in rally mode, but how much could it rally and what does this mean for the stock and metals markets including gold?  The US dollar index could move up to about 74.5 to 75, … Continue reading →

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AAII Survey of Investor Sentiment: This Sentiment Spread Stinks

Posted on April 9, 2011 by David Durand

4-09-2011: A Review of the AAII Survey ® of Individual Investor Sentiment. The AAII Survey showed a Bull-Bear spread of 14.7% this week with 43.59% Bulls and 28.85% Bears.  (You can review all the data here: AAII Homepage) So what does … Continue reading →

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Stocks, the Dollar and Gold: Market Timing a Turn in the Markets

Posted on March 21, 2011 by David Durand

Please scroll down for the latest update.  Thanks. The SP500 is nearly back to the breakdown point of 1294.26 and if it fails to make it over, this will have been a prime opportunity to sell.  If you’ve sold nothing, … Continue reading →

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Market Timing Bounce in a Down Trend: Jim Cramer says Sell the Rally

Posted on March 18, 2011 by David Durand

Since Jim Cramer is often seen as a “perma Bull,” it is good for someone to point out when he is not. When he has NOT been bullish, he’s often been right, because his tendency is toward bullishness.  He sometimes … Continue reading →

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Market Timing: They are Selling the Rally of the SP500 Index

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

I pointed out earlier today that this would happen and the SPY for example peaked at about 10:24 am ET and has been skidding slowly from there. That does not mean the day won’t turn out positive, but it does … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the SP500 Index Decline: A Place to Scale Out – Now

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

QUICK NOTE: You want to scale when investors are buying whenever possible in a down trend. Now if you disagree with me and believe we are not in a more substantial down trend this time, ignore this. But if you … Continue reading →

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