Market Timing Brief for the Emerging Market ETF (VWO) Close on 12-06-2013: The Best Choice for 2014?

A Market Timing Report based on the 1-2013 Close published Sunday December 8th, 2013

The Emerging Markets have at least for now made a bottom and are moving up.  Decent valuation with a higher dividend yield are there too if you compare VWO vs. the SP500 Index.  I’m fully invested in the emerging markets now, actually with a 25% overexposure vs. my usual maximum exposure.

On the chart below, you can see that VWO did NOT make it through resistance the last two times it has tried, and even formed a lower high in the prior move, but I believe the 3rd time may work, because there have been two higher lows since the last major low shown.  It paused at the 50 day moving average on Friday, so it could turn down from that resistance on negative news.

The risks?  If growth slows more than was thought or if interest rates rise too fast, emerging markets may underperform the US markets.  But if the US employment rate is improving (to 7% this past month from 7.3%), it means more people shopping for emerging market goods in the United States, which means E’s will rise for emerging markets into 2014.

Despite the risks, my money is where my mouth is.  You can decide for yourself.

The VWO Close on 12-06-2013

vwo-emerging-markets-etf-market-timing-chart-2013-12-06-close

Emerging markets represent value bouncing from the prior low.

For some other useful information…I covered my thoughts on investor sentiment for free subscribers, which you can access after getting the password here: Free Subscription to My Newsletter and access to my latest comments  I’ll send you back the password to the access page and the monthly newsletter in the same email.  

Standard Disclaimer: It’s your money and your decision as to how to invest it.

I also comment regularly on Twitter: Follow Me on Twitter

I thank Worden Brothers for the chart system I use to post these charts.  If you want to know more about the charting system I use every day, go to my “Other Resources” page here:  Other Resources   It makes it much easier to follow along with me if you can see the charts and manipulate them on your own computer, so it’s a great investment to have an excellent charting system.

Look for updates on the main chart tracking pages this week as I feel they are needed and comments via Twitter.

Copyright © 2013 By Wall Street Sun and Storm Report, LLC All rights reserved.

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