Author Archives: David Durand

Market Timing Bounce in a Down Trend: Jim Cramer says Sell the Rally

Posted on March 18, 2011 by David Durand

Since Jim Cramer is often seen as a “perma Bull,” it is good for someone to point out when he is not. When he has NOT been bullish, he’s often been right, because his tendency is toward bullishness.  He sometimes … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the US Dollar Index and Gold (GLD,IAU,USDX): Last Stop Before Hell for the US Dollar

Posted on March 18, 2011 by David Durand

All aboard! Ninety five percent of Americans are riding the dollar train and are asleep. If the Nov. 2010 low of the US dollar index of 75.63 – 75.73 is taken out, the 2009 low (mini-hell) of 74.23 is next … Continue reading →

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The US Dollar Index and Euro War Continues

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

I’ve just posted a number of market timing tweets as DavidBDurandMD on Twitter. The summary is that the Euro is at the moment winning over the US dollar which effects the US dollar index more than the drop of the … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the Euro and US Dollar Index: An Update

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

The US dollar index broke the first level of support at the long term up trend line and is now challenging the Nov 2010 low. It is likely to hold here, because the yen looks like a blow-off top today … Continue reading →

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Market Timing Gold (GLD, IAU): A Pause?

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

Yes, it looks like a pause in a decline.  Gold has just gone sideways for a couple of days. Although it could rally from the 50 day moving average which is not that far below here (GLD 50 day mav … Continue reading →

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Market Timing: They are Selling the Rally of the SP500 Index

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

I pointed out earlier today that this would happen and the SPY for example peaked at about 10:24 am ET and has been skidding slowly from there. That does not mean the day won’t turn out positive, but it does … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the SP500 Index Decline: A Place to Scale Out – Now

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

QUICK NOTE: You want to scale when investors are buying whenever possible in a down trend. Now if you disagree with me and believe we are not in a more substantial down trend this time, ignore this. But if you … Continue reading →

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Nikkei 225 Index: A Market Timing or Fundamental Bargain Here?

Posted on March 17, 2011 by David Durand

Do not become enticed by small or even sizable market timing bounces in up trends that do not truly change the trend.  Some of these come because an external event like Japan settles down a bit from the earlier panic. … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the SP500 Index, Gold and the US Dollar

Posted on March 15, 2011 by David Durand

The dollar has failed to begin its bounce, while the stock market is likely to sustain the first important breakdown today on the close (see below!).  But there are false starts. The last time we had a great US dollar … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the US Dollar Index, Gold and Stocks: New Trend?

Posted on March 11, 2011 by David Durand

The dollar looks like it is starting a rally. Yesterday I tweeted via DavidBDurandMD on Twitter that I had gone long the US dollar.  Today I went short the Euro.  There are ETF’s you can use to do this if … Continue reading →

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