Author Archives: David Durand

Market Timing Gold: You Can’t Go Both Ways

Posted on March 7, 2011 by David Durand

Nope. Either gold miners go up with gold or gold (GLD, IAU) cannot continue to go up. That correlation can fail over short periods of time, but not over long periods of time and it’s a good idea to look … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the SP500 Index:Weakness

Posted on March 6, 2011 by David Durand

The SP500 Index has finally shown weakness and has not been able to make it above and then STAY above the high for 3-1-2011 which was 1332.09. That is the first hurdle, but you do not want to buy there. … Continue reading →

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Market Timing Gold: Will the Sell Signal Be Voided?

Posted on March 4, 2011 by David Durand

Gold (GLD) is attempting to recover from the SELL signal generated when it closed below the GLD high of 139.54. What I’ve described multiple times is that it’s important to pay attention when markets “play” with a particular number.  This … Continue reading →

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Market Timing Gold: Reversal at a Top or Not?

Posted on March 3, 2011 by David Durand

Gold (GLD, IAU) is down hard today from an attempt at a new high. This does not guarantee it will fail, so you may want to average out instead of selling everything at once, but it does increase the risk … Continue reading →

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Market Timing Employment: A Stock Market Indicator

Posted on March 2, 2011 by David Durand

The employment trend is murky. On the one hand, the ADP report today said there were 217,000 private sector jobs created from January to February. This would suggest that the employment trend is improving – that further gains could follow. … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the SP500 Index: Giving It Back

Posted on February 28, 2011 by David Durand

The market is giving back much of this mornings gains and for the NASDAQ, then some, as it is in the red at the moment.  The semi-conductors are particularly weak. The small caps are in the red too.  The midcaps … Continue reading →

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Market Timing the US Dollar Index: Watch this line

Posted on February 24, 2011 by David Durand

The US dollar index has dropped just below a major up trend line this morning that is formed by the Nov. 2010 and early Feb. 2011 lows. A breach of this line at around 77.19 would cause the dollar to … Continue reading →

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Market Timing Signal: The US Dollar Failed A Test and Your Federal Credit Rating Just Declined!

Posted on February 23, 2011 by David Durand

The US dollar has been considered the reserve currency of the world. That means that when the you-know-what hits the international fan, the dollar is SUPPOSED to rally. It barely moved yesterday! Gold did move up significantly. This amounts to … Continue reading →

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Market Timing by Investor Sentiment: The Fearful Ones are Running Again

Posted on February 16, 2011 by David Durand

Published 2-16-2011 There they go again. The clients of investment firms who ran from stocks as the market sank to its low in 2009 are now running from bonds (now that they’ve already substantially corrected) back to stocks. Their market … Continue reading →

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Investor Sentiment: An AAII Index Review for 2-10-2011

Posted on February 10, 2011 by David Durand

Sentiment was reported today and the results are interesting. Sentiment is not off the wall Bullish or Bearish. It is at a level that could support a further rally, but the number of Bulls may make the market vulnerable to … Continue reading →

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