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Recent Posts
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 2-17-2023 Close (2-21-23 through 3-15-23 Updates) “Still Just a U.S. Stock Market Bounce. How is Gold Holding Up? When Will the Bond/Treasury Market Be Safe Again?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-28-2022 Close “Just Another Bounce or the End of the Bear Market for Stocks? When Gold Will Rise Again. How High Will Rates Go?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 7-08-2022 Close “Stocks Stabilize Ahead of Earnings Slowdown. So You Want to Fight the Fed? Gold Slips with Commodities. Treasury Yields Flat Vs. Early May.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 4-29-2022 Close “Markets on the Edge of the ‘Big Red Wave.’ Gold Off Its Top. Long Term Treasuries Taking a Fed Beating.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 1-21-2022 Close with Updates at Top “Big Red Wave Warning” and “Inflation Strategy Addendum”: “The U.S. Stock Market Has Two Choices. The Golden Triangle. Rates Have Peaked?”
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Tag Archives: gdx
Market Timing Brief™ for the 11-11-2016 Close: Stocks Slump then Rally on Trump Win. Gold Rallies then Slumps as Interest Rates Soar.
A Market Timing Report based on the 11-11-2016 Close, published Sunday November 13th, 2016 I deliver focused comments on the markets. These are supplemented with “Tweets/StockTwits” (see links below). 1. SP500 Index: Trump won the 2016 Election. The nation must … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, mid-cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, 2016 election, aaii sentiment survey, aaii survey, CAT, federal reserve, GDP, gdx, gld, gold etf, growth and inflation, HUM, ibb, investor sentiment, ITA, ITB, iwm, lqd, market timing, reits, rut, sp500 index, spx, spy, survey says, tlt, tnx, TrumpCare, U.S. election, vnq, XLE, XLF, XLV
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Market Timing Brief for 5-31-2013: One Down. Two Up.
A Market Timing Report based on the 5-31-2013 Close published Sunday June 2nd, 2013 with updates. UPDATE for 6-13-2013 @ 2:40 pm: Is the sell-off over? Not likely. It looks like it could be a Bear trap, but if you … Continue reading
Posted in federal reserve, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, Treasuries, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, gdx, gld, gld etf, market timing, spx, spy, tbt, tlt, tnx
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Market Timing Brief for 5-17-2013: How Blow-off Tops and Bottoms Can Make You a Fortune
A Market Timing Report based on the 5-17-2013 Close published Sunday May 19th, 2013 UPDATE for 5-23-2013 @ 1:42 pm: Survey Says! Why I am Starting to Take Some Profits. I am slowly taking some profits because of the individual … Continue reading
Posted in banking stocks, Bonds, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, Treasuries, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii survey, blow-off top, capitulation, gdx, gld etf, hui, market timing, slv, sp500 index
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Market Timing Brief for 2-15-2013: These SP500 Index Charts Pose the Question: Is this 2007 All Over Again?
A Market Timing Report based on the 2-15-2013 Close published Sunday February 17th, 2012 I’ll get to the subject of the this week’s Brief title in a minute, but first I want to review the damage in gold and gold … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii survey, gdx, gld, gld etf, market timing, sp500 index, spx, spy, tlt, tnx, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 1-04-2013: After the Fiscal Cliff. Now what?
A Market Timing Report based on the 1-04-2013 Close published Sunday January 6th, 2012 UPDATE 1-07-2013 after the close: Today’s little pullback was “noise.” The market stayed within the market timing price range of the prior two days as shown … Continue reading
Posted in fiscal cliff, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged gdx, gld, gld etf, gold market timing, market timing, sp500 index, spx, spy, VIX, volatility index
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Market Timing Tip: There’s Gold in the Gold Miner vs. Gold Chart
There is true gold to be found in the chart below. If you look at the market timing rally in gold stocks last summer that began on August 6th, you’ll see that the miners (GDX) ran ahead of the gold … Continue reading
Posted in gold, gold etf, gold stocks, Market timing, mining stocks
Tagged gdx, gld, gld etf, gold miners, market timing
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Market Timing Brief™: Without Central Bank Intervention the Summer 2011 Lows Are in Sight
Based on the 6-1-2012 Close published Sunday, 6-3-2012. A pivot point it was! And did the markets ever pivot down this week with the volatility index (VIX) exploding. I continued to exit in steps as we just don’t know when … Continue reading
Posted in gold, gold etf, housing, investment, Market timing, oil prices, S&P 500 Index, silver, trading, US Dollar Index
Tagged gdx, gld, ITB, market timing, oil, slv, sp500 index, vgk, VIX, volatility index
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Market Timing Gold: You Can’t Go Both Ways
Nope. Either gold miners go up with gold or gold (GLD, IAU) cannot continue to go up. That correlation can fail over short periods of time, but not over long periods of time and it’s a good idea to look … Continue reading
Posted in gold, gold etf, gold stocks
Tagged gdx, gld, gold etf, gold stocks, iau, market timing
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China’s Currency Threats: Take them Seriously
President Hu said the US is printing too much money and is the cause of global inflation. Global food inflation is at 25% for the year. Imagine how that effects those who barely get by. Our Fed is hurting those … Continue reading