Monthly Archives: March 2011

The US Dollar Index and Euro War Continues

I’ve just posted a number of market timing tweets as DavidBDurandMD on Twitter. The summary is that the Euro is at the moment winning over the US dollar which effects the US dollar index more than the drop of the … Continue reading

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Market Timing the Euro and US Dollar Index: An Update

The US dollar index broke the first level of support at the long term up trend line and is now challenging the Nov 2010 low. It is likely to hold here, because the yen looks like a blow-off top today … Continue reading

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Market Timing Gold (GLD, IAU): A Pause?

Yes, it looks like a pause in a decline.  Gold has just gone sideways for a couple of days. Although it could rally from the 50 day moving average which is not that far below here (GLD 50 day mav … Continue reading

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Market Timing: They are Selling the Rally of the SP500 Index

I pointed out earlier today that this would happen and the SPY for example peaked at about 10:24 am ET and has been skidding slowly from there. That does not mean the day won’t turn out positive, but it does … Continue reading

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Market Timing the SP500 Index Decline: A Place to Scale Out – Now

QUICK NOTE: You want to scale when investors are buying whenever possible in a down trend. Now if you disagree with me and believe we are not in a more substantial down trend this time, ignore this. But if you … Continue reading

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Nikkei 225 Index: A Market Timing or Fundamental Bargain Here?

Do not become enticed by small or even sizable market timing bounces in up trends that do not truly change the trend.  Some of these come because an external event like Japan settles down a bit from the earlier panic. … Continue reading

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Market Timing the SP500 Index, Gold and the US Dollar

The dollar has failed to begin its bounce, while the stock market is likely to sustain the first important breakdown today on the close (see below!).  But there are false starts. The last time we had a great US dollar … Continue reading

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Market Timing the US Dollar Index, Gold and Stocks: New Trend?

The dollar looks like it is starting a rally. Yesterday I tweeted via DavidBDurandMD on Twitter that I had gone long the US dollar.  Today I went short the Euro.  There are ETF’s you can use to do this if … Continue reading

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Market Timing Gold: You Can’t Go Both Ways

Nope. Either gold miners go up with gold or gold (GLD, IAU) cannot continue to go up. That correlation can fail over short periods of time, but not over long periods of time and it’s a good idea to look … Continue reading

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Market Timing the SP500 Index:Weakness

The SP500 Index has finally shown weakness and has not been able to make it above and then STAY above the high for 3-1-2011 which was 1332.09. That is the first hurdle, but you do not want to buy there. … Continue reading

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