Category Archives: gold stocks

Market Timing Tip: There’s Gold in the Gold Miner vs. Gold Chart

There is true gold to be found in the chart below.  If you look at the market timing rally in gold stocks last summer that began on August 6th, you’ll see that the miners (GDX) ran ahead of the gold … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: They Went Away in April

5-6-2012: (Update at 5-7-2012 close and again on 5-10-2012) 5-10-2012 UPDATE: Yesterday the SP500 Index closed just below support, which was at the April low. If the pop this morning holds on the close today , we can rise to … Continue reading

Posted in gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, silver, silver ETF, trading, volatility index | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Market Timing Brief™: Retest Time

5-01-2012 3:29 pm Update:  The SP500 Index (SPX, SPY) is indeed getting very close to doing a complete  retest of the prior high on April 2nd, so this weekend’s analysis is coming to pass.  In fact, the Dow is now … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: ECRI Says Recession Ahead, Mild or Moderate?

Brief for 3-02-2012: On Friday I started a position in the VXX which goes up if the market (SP500 Index) goes down based on the increase in the volatility (level of fear) when that occurs.  Why?  Because the SPX has … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Inflation Is Here

2-24-2012: NOTE: This was written pre-Fed speak on Capitol Hill today that took a toll on the inflation hedges like the metals.  This shows you the power of the Fed over the markets.  Dr. B bascially jawboned the markets down … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: Is the Next Move Up or Down for the SP500 Index?

Market Timing Brief™ for 10-20-2011: Looking Through the Fog It was another up and down day run by a statistic here and a rumor there.  The action was simply noise on the charts.  The reason I said today that the … Continue reading

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Market Timing Brief™: SP500 Index, Gold and the US Dollar

The President is briefed every day, so investors and traders should be too! The 7-12-2011 Market Timing Brief™ is here: Today’s Market Timing Brief™ 1. ADP reported that private non-farm payrolls rose 157,000 in June with 130000 jobs added in … Continue reading

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Market Timing Gold: You Can’t Go Both Ways

Nope. Either gold miners go up with gold or gold (GLD, IAU) cannot continue to go up. That correlation can fail over short periods of time, but not over long periods of time and it’s a good idea to look … Continue reading

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Market Timing Gold: Reversal at a Top or Not?

Gold (GLD, IAU) is down hard today from an attempt at a new high. This does not guarantee it will fail, so you may want to average out instead of selling everything at once, but it does increase the risk … Continue reading

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Gold Stocks (HUI index; GDX) Run Ahead of Gold (GLD,IAU)

The GLD ETF is only up 0.02% while the gold stock ETF (GDX) is up 2.00%. Quite a difference. A market timing perspective and a fundamental perspective would BOTH be suspicious of the gold stock move. You might want to … Continue reading

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