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- Market Timing Brief™ for 11-24-2025 – “Gold Fell As Predicted from Its Overstretched Top in October, but What Now?”
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- Market Timing Brief™ – Updated 04-25-2025 “Is This US Stock Market Bounce Going to Fail Right Here or Keep Going?” – Main Post: “The Next US Stock Market Move. Gold Hesitates. Interest Rates Rule the Markets Once Again.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-18-2024 Close – Plus 1-17-2025 Update “What Has to Happen Now in the US Stock Market?” Original Post: “Is U.S. Election Risk for the Markets Already Over? Signals Stocks, Gold, and Interest Rates Are Sending…”
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Category Archives: federal reserve
Market Timing Brief for the GLD Gold ETF Close on 9-20-2013: Smacked Around By the Fed
A Market Timing Report based on the 9-20-2013 Close published Sunday September 22th, 2013 Please read the prior post on the SP500 and the 10 Year Treasury first and come back to this one. I give the blow by blow … Continue reading
Posted in federal reserve, gold, investment, Treasuries
Tagged gld, gld etf, market timing
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Market Timing Brief for the SP500 Index Close on 9-20-2013: Testing, Testing. QE Reduction Coming Soon!
A Market Timing Report based on the 9-20-2013 Close published Sunday September 22th, 2013 The SP500 Index is back testing the last breakout after reaching the top of the longer term up channel last week at 1729.44, just below my … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, investment, large cap stocks, S&P 500 Index, Treasuries
Tagged 10 year treasury, market timing, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx
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Market Timing Brief for 5-31-2013: One Down. Two Up.
A Market Timing Report based on the 5-31-2013 Close published Sunday June 2nd, 2013 with updates. UPDATE for 6-13-2013 @ 2:40 pm: Is the sell-off over? Not likely. It looks like it could be a Bear trap, but if you … Continue reading
Posted in federal reserve, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, Treasuries, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, gdx, gld, gld etf, market timing, spx, spy, tbt, tlt, tnx
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Market Timing Brief for 5-24-2013: Markets Giving Up Their Stretch As Warned
A Market Timing Report based on the 5-24-2013 Close published Saturday June 1st, 2013 UPDATE 6-01-2013: The Bear has reared its head. The sell-off in the form of the C wave mentioned below is now underway. The so-called C wave … Continue reading
Posted in federal reserve, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, Nikkei 225 Index, REITS, S&P 500 Index, trading, Treasuries, volatility index
Tagged gld etf, market timing, nikkei 225 index, reit index, spx, spy, tbt, tlt, tnx
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Market Timing Brief for 5-03-2013: New Highs but Could the Rally Fall Apart?
A Market Timing Report based on the 5-03-2013 Close published Sunday May 5th, 2013 UPDATE 5-9-2013 @ 2:29 pm ET: The SP500 Index is now above the wedge previously discussed no matter how you draw it. The Bears need a … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, Treasuries
Tagged aaii survey, aig, gld, gld etf, market timing, sp500 index, spx, spy, tlt, tnx
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Market Timing Brief for 3-15-2013: Survey Says Watch Out for the Coming Correction
A Market Timing Report based on the 3-15-2013 Close published Sunday March 17th, 2013 UPDATE for 3-20-2013 @ 10:14 am: The market is bouncing based on aid from Russia to Cyprus of 10 billion dollars. The chart below shows: 1. … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii survey, gld etf, housing stock index, investor sentiment, market timing, spx, spy, tbt, tlt, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 3-08-2013: Stocks Make New Highs
A Market Timing Report based on the 3-08-2013 Close published Sunday March 10th, 2013 UPDATE 3-11-2013 @ 7:12 pm ET: Intel provided a great trading example today. Some say to forget all intraday moves. Sometimes that works, but not always. … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, dia, dji, gld etf, INTC, market timing, spx, spy, tbt, tlt, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 3-01-2013: Saved by Dr. Ben but Soon a Correction
A Market Timing Report based on the 3-01-2013 Close published Sunday March 3rd, 2013 UPDATE 3-07-2013 @ 12:10 pm ET: The REITs did in fact break out and are now consolidating (moving sideways) just above the breakout point of 959.48 … Continue reading
Posted in Biotech, drug stocks, federal reserve, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Dollar Index, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, BTK, Fibonacci, gld etf, hgx, market timing, RMZ, spx, spy, tlt, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 10-19-2012: The Correction Will Likely Deepen
A Market Timing Report based on the 10-19-2012 Close published Monday October 22nd, 2012 UPDATED SP500 Index Chart as of 12:58 pm ET 10-25-2012: The Ten Year Treasure Note (TNX,TLT) is rallying again as of Friday from about the same … Continue reading
Posted in federal reserve, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Dollar Index, volatility index, Warren Buffett
Tagged aaii survey, gld, gold etf, market timing, sp500 index, spx, spy, tnx, VIX, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 10-12-2012: : October is Correction Month and Sentiment Has Room to Fall for U.S.
A Market Timing Report based on the 10-12-2012 Close published Sunday October 14th, 2012 UPDATE 10-15-2012: The market did in fact bounce from support, but not quite enough to say it will again retop or rally further. Gold broke down … Continue reading