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Recent Posts
- Market Timing Brief™ for 11-24-2025 – “Gold Fell As Predicted from Its Overstretched Top in October, but What Now?”
- Market Timing Brief™ for 7-29-2025 – UPDATE 8-03-2025 “What is the State of Some Major Indexes and Interest Rates Post Fed and Post Jobs Report?” “Will Stocks Rally or Fall on the Fed Rate Cut Decision Tomorrow?”
- Market Timing Brief™ – Updated 04-25-2025 “Is This US Stock Market Bounce Going to Fail Right Here or Keep Going?” – Main Post: “The Next US Stock Market Move. Gold Hesitates. Interest Rates Rule the Markets Once Again.”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 10-18-2024 Close – Plus 1-17-2025 Update “What Has to Happen Now in the US Stock Market?” Original Post: “Is U.S. Election Risk for the Markets Already Over? Signals Stocks, Gold, and Interest Rates Are Sending…”
- Market Timing Brief™ for the 7-26-2024 Close and 9-16-24 Update on a Potential (and Dumb?) 0.50% Fed Rate Cut in Sept. 9-09-2024 Update on “How Many Fed Cuts Will We See by December?” Regular Issue: “What Should You Buy Now? How Low Will Large Cap Stocks Go? Small Caps (Temporarily!) Defy Large Cap Gravity. Gold’s Consolidating but Strong. Interest Rates Are Falling.”
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Category Archives: volatility index
Market Timing Brief for 3-22-2013: Are Emerging Markets the Key Signal? If So, What Are They Saying?
A Market Timing Report based on the 3-22-2013 Close published Sunday March 24th, 2013 UPDATE for 3-25-2013 @ 8:09 pm: The SP500 Index closed today in the middle of the current consolidation band, meaning we’re still going sideways in the … Continue reading
Posted in emerging markets, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, volatility index
Tagged aaii survey, emerging markets, gdx etf, gld etf, market timing, mining etf, spx, spy, uup, volatility index, vwo
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Market Timing Brief for 3-15-2013: Survey Says Watch Out for the Coming Correction
A Market Timing Report based on the 3-15-2013 Close published Sunday March 17th, 2013 UPDATE for 3-20-2013 @ 10:14 am: The market is bouncing based on aid from Russia to Cyprus of 10 billion dollars. The chart below shows: 1. … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii survey, gld etf, housing stock index, investor sentiment, market timing, spx, spy, tbt, tlt, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 3-08-2013: Stocks Make New Highs
A Market Timing Report based on the 3-08-2013 Close published Sunday March 10th, 2013 UPDATE 3-11-2013 @ 7:12 pm ET: Intel provided a great trading example today. Some say to forget all intraday moves. Sometimes that works, but not always. … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, federal reserve, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, dia, dji, gld etf, INTC, market timing, spx, spy, tbt, tlt, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 3-01-2013: Saved by Dr. Ben but Soon a Correction
A Market Timing Report based on the 3-01-2013 Close published Sunday March 3rd, 2013 UPDATE 3-07-2013 @ 12:10 pm ET: The REITs did in fact break out and are now consolidating (moving sideways) just above the breakout point of 959.48 … Continue reading
Posted in Biotech, drug stocks, federal reserve, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Dollar Index, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, BTK, Fibonacci, gld etf, hgx, market timing, RMZ, spx, spy, tlt, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 2-22-2013: The SP500 “Kisses the Channel Goodbye”: What that Means
A Market Timing Report based on the 2-22-2013 Close published Sunday February 24th, 2012 UPDATE 2-28-2013 @ 12:11 am updated @ 9:24 am: The further bounce in the SP500 Index has fallen short of the breakdown point at the base … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Dollar Index, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, BTK, ewh, gld etf, hgx, ITB, market timing, spx, spy, volatility index, vwo
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Market Timing Brief for 2-15-2013: These SP500 Index Charts Pose the Question: Is this 2007 All Over Again?
A Market Timing Report based on the 2-15-2013 Close published Sunday February 17th, 2012 I’ll get to the subject of the this week’s Brief title in a minute, but first I want to review the damage in gold and gold … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged 10 year treasury, aaii survey, gdx, gld, gld etf, market timing, sp500 index, spx, spy, tlt, tnx, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 2-08-2013: Bull Run Version 2.0
A Market Timing Report based on the 2-08-2013 Close published Sunday February 10th, 2012 UPDATE 2-13-2013 @ 10:15 pm: This is an update of my 2013 prediction on banking stocks. They’ve continued to do well. Biotechs (BTK) and drug stocks … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, gold etf, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, municipal bonds, S&P 500 Index, small cap stocks, trading, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged aaii survey, gld, gld etf, iwm, market timing, qqq, small cap stocks, sp500 index, spy, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 2-01-2013: Stocks are In and Bonds are Out! The Next Target for the SP500 Index
A Market Timing Report based on the 2-01-2013 Close published Sunday February 3rd, 2012 UPDATE 2-6-2013 after the close: The VIX volatility index is straddling a critical support level of 13.30, which tells you the market is not quite sure … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, housing, inflation, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, mining stocks, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged aaii survey, BKX, gld, gld etf, INTC, market timing, NDX, qqq, sp500 index, spy, tnx, volatility index
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Market Timing Brief for 1-25-2013: A Few Bad Apples Don’t Spoil the Market
A Market Timing Report based on the 1-25-2013 Close published Sunday January 27th, 2012 UPDATE 1-28-2013 @ 9:49 pm ET: The VIX failed to maintain its fall below support at 13.30 today, but is barely above it as this chart … Continue reading
Posted in Biotech, drug stocks, emerging markets, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, mining stocks, pharmaceutical stocks, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged dba, drg, gld, gld etf, lqd, market timing, sp500 index, spy, tnx, volatility index, vwo
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Market Timing Brief for 1-18-2013: The Bulls Have the Ball for Now
A Market Timing Report based on the 1-18-2013 Close published Monday January 21st, 2012 UPDATE 1-24-2013 @ 2:51 AM ET: The Bulls may have just dropped the Big Tech Ball. The QQQ’s (NASDAQ 100 Index) took an afterhours hit due … Continue reading
Posted in Biotech, gold, gold etf, gold stocks, inflation, investment, investor sentiment, large cap stocks, Market timing, mining stocks, pharmaceutical stocks, S&P 500 Index, trading, US Stocks, volatility index
Tagged dba, dow transports, gld, gld etf, IYT, market timing, NDX, qqq, sp500 index, spy, volatility index
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